It's been a nice break from watching fights. I missed listening to some of the weekly youtube content though.
I haven't had time to research every fight but this is what I had time to do.
SOME NOTES: I guess I do the opposite what good betting is. I always just want to bet the thing I think is most likely to win. I have a hard to with underdogs. The major majority of the time i take a chance on the underdog I lose. The one under dog i thought about this week was Kopylov. But one of the steps I am trying to make myself do before betting is to prune out 30% of bets I consider and I pruned that one out. So since i didn't bet him, that means he will win.
I went over the the top 2 fights back and forth a lot in my head. That probably means I should not have bet it. I went with imavov because he seems technically better a little bit bigger, seems to have better fight IQ and seems to be more aggressive. Strickland might change it up and fight differently than he has been doing in the past but if he fights as he has been I think it will be hard for him to land on Imavov.
I went with Ige because it seems he has the better power and better striking technique and had better competition. Jackson's defense doesn't look particularly strong so he could get KO'd.
I bet some split decision props again. I've been having some success. I like Nascimiento cause he is always attacking. The problem is that when he isn't successful at submission it means that the fight could be a close decision. Hernandez seems busy but his fights always look close. Also bet split in the main event and the vieira and pennington fight.
Placed - 2 Team Parlay -0.5 UNIT
Yes (-325)Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington
Dan Ige (-134)Dan Ige vs Damon Jackson
Placed - Single -0.5 UNIT
Ketlen Vieira wins by 3 round decision (+125)Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington
Placed - Single -0.2 UNIT
Raquel Pennington to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+750)Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington
Placed - Single - 0.2 UNIT
Ketlen Vieira to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+650)Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington
Placed - Single -0.2 UNIT
Carlos Hernandez to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+1400)Allan Nascimento vs Carlos Hernandez
Placed - Single -0.2 UNIT
Allan Nascimento to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+600)Allan Nascimento vs Carlos Hernandez
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 1 UNIT
Over 1.5 (-350)Allan Nascimento vs Carlos Hernandez
Over 1.5 (-170)Punahele Soriano vs Roman Kopylov
Placed - 3 Team Parlay - 1.5 UNIT
Allan Nascimento (-360)Allan Nascimento vs Carlos Hernandez
Javid Basharat (-360)Mateus Mendonca vs Javid Basharat
Over 1.5 (-325)Nassourdine Imavov vs Sean Strickland
Placed - Single - 0.5 UNIT
Yes (+105)Nassourdine Imavov vs Sean Strickland
Placed - Single - 0.5 UNIT
Nassourdine Imavov in Round 4, 5 or by Decision (+270)Nassourdine Imavov vs Sean Strickland
Placed - Single - 0.2 UNIT
Sean Strickland to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+1000)Nassourdine Imavov vs Sean Strickland
Placed - Single - 0.2 UNIT
Nassourdine Imavov to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+1000)
RECAP FROM DECEMBER:
The last even I bet was Bachowicz v Ankalaev. It went well. +4.54 units 43% ROI.
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