Ug, 3rd losing week in a row. Maybe should just give up. The only thing that kept me from losing every single bet was Felicia Spencer finishing inside the distance. I just thought the experience and skill difference was too great for her not to finish.
WHAT WENT WRONG:
I don't know. I had a couple totally wrong reads. I thought Nzechukwu was be able to withstand any power from Jung and come on later in the fight with his own power which I thought would be more damaging. But Nzechukwu hardly threw a punch and just shelled up like he just wasn't ready to fight. In the Thiago Moises vs Alvarez fight, I totally did not see that Alvarez had a good striking. But his striking looked great. He was really efficient and composed. And I did not expect the size difference to be so huge. Thye looked ike completely different weight classes. Both totally wrong reads.
Baeza vs Khaos I knew was going to be hard to predict a winner. I ended up going with Baeza because he seemed he'd be more able to technically pick Khaos apart slowly. But his accuracy was not good. He had a big size advantage but didn't use it well. His defense is not too good and he has shown to be able to be wobbled in the past. I don't think he's as good as the hype says he is. Khaos I thought looked more composed and and less reckless than I thought based on the research. I thought he did good.
As far as the time props, I had them all completely wrong once again. Maybe I should just stop betting these at all. Calvillo vs Lee went how i thought it would. I thought Lee would be much better at striking and she was. I just didn't expect her to finish inside the distance. Was there anything that would have indicated that would have happened? Same question for Woodson vs Anglin. I picked the over for this fight and thought that was pretty safe. Song vs Arce I thought would be more competitive and last longer. Song looks way better than he did in the fight footage I watched. He looks much more composed. Arce looked pretty good but got caught earlier than I thought.
BETTING RESULTS:
Kennedy Nzechukwu +100 - BAD PREDICTION
Kennedy Nzechukwu in Round 3 +1100 --1/2 unit - BAD PREDICTION
Felicia Spencer wins inside distance +175 - GOOD PREDICTION
Felicia Spencer wins by KO, TKO or DQ +675 --1/2 unit - GOOD PREDICTION
Felicia Spencer wins by submission +220 - Hedge bet
PARLAY 3 legs +106 ---Thiago Moises-265 ---Felicia Spencer-325 ---Max Holloway-700 - BAD PREDICTION
Parlay (4 Picks) +185 ---Over 2.5 Rounds-240 Max Holloway vs Yair Rodriguez, Over 1.5 Rounds-550 Andrea Lee vs Cynthia Calvillo, Over 1.5 Rounds -360 Sean Woodson vs Collin Anglin, Over 1.5 Rounds -300 Da Un Jung vs Kennedy Nzechukwu - BAD PREDICTION
Parlay (2 Picks) -105 ---Over 2.5 Rounds -230 Yadong Song vs Julio Arce, Yes (Fight goes the distance) -275 Andrea Lee vs Cynthia Calvillo - BAD PREDICTION
Parlay (4 Picks) +250 ---Miguel Baeza -140, Thiago Moises -265, Sean Woodson -335, Max Holloway -700 - BAD PREDICTION
UPDATED BETTING RECORD:
Comments