UFC:
Bad event for my tracked bets. -7.28 UNIT -56% ROI. But I'm feeling ok because I was able to aggressively rebuild some parlays as the event went on and I cashed out of my Dern parlay for a little more than I bet after round 2. I felt she was looking tired and her offense was probably not going to get much better. So ended up a winning event. +2.2 UNITS 9% ROI
LOST:
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 1.5 UNITS
Over 2.5 (-155)Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones
Over 2.5 (-190)Brendan Allen vs Krzysztof Jotko
Placed - Single- 2 UNITS
Krzysztof Jotko (-134)Brendan Allen vs Krzysztof Jotko
Placed - 2 Team Parlay- 2 UNITS
John Castaneda (-218)John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos
Randy Brown (-300)Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo
Placed - 2 Team Parlay- 2 UNITS
Raoni Barcelos (-218)Raoni Barcelos vs Trevin Jones
John Castaneda (-218)John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 1.5 UNITS
Mackenzie Dern (-230)Mackenzie Dern vs Xiaonan Yan
Randy Brown (-300)Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 1 UNIT
Over 1.5 (-175)Sodiq Yusuff vs Don Shainis
Mateus Mendonca (-290)Mateus Mendonca vs Ashiek Ajim
WON:
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 3 UNITS
DNGTD (-240)Costa vs Cannetti
DNGTD (-290)Mateus Mendonca vs Ashiek Ajim
BAD READS:
Lots of bad reads.
Jotko: Maybe I should have red flagged the 6 year age differential for Jotko. I saw him as the more technical striker and that colored my reasoning. I tend to favor the more technical and maybe I let this influence me too much when deciding on this fight. I talked myself into not red flagging him because Jotko is only 33 which isn't that old. It nagged at me that Allen had really good competition and maybe that is why he didn't look that good in the fights I watched. But the fight finishing this fast by sub I don't think I could have seen that coming.
Santos: It made me nervous he was working with Oliveira's gym. Castenada looked good. Almost finished in 1st. But Santos durability and scrambling outlasted.
Yusuf was so fast. He never looks like that.
HOW THE SYSTEM DID:
BAD tonight. Rooting out the "hard to call" fights, the system picked Jotko,
Castenada, Barcelos, Brown and Dern - only 2 out of 5 correct - 40%. The worst event since I started this system.
DWCS Season 6 Week 10
+2.95 UNITS, 147% ROI
WON:
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 1UNIT
No (-160)Jack Jenkins vs Freddy Linares
Mateus Mendonca (-290)Mateus Mendonca vs Ashiek Ajim
Placed - Single - 1UNIT
Bo Nickal - By Submission (+175)Bo Nickal vs Donovan Beard
HOW THE SYSTEM DID:
Good. Rooting out "hard to call fights" it picked Nickal and Mendonca. 100% correct.
Bellator 286
+2.16 UNITS, 29% ROI
Won:
Placed - Single - 1 UNIT
Over 1.5 (+110)AJ McKee Jr vs Spike Carlyle
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 2 UNITS
Yes (-240)Juan Archuleta vs Enrique Barzola
Over 1.5 (-510)Patricio Freire vs Adam Borics
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 2.5 UNITS
Over 2.5 (-250)Patricio Freire vs Adam Borics
AJ McKee Jr (-525)AJ McKee Jr vs Spike Carlyle
LOST:
Placed - 2 Team Parlay - 2 UNITS
Richard Palencia (-310)Richard Palencia vs Cee Jay Hamilton
Khalid Murtazaliev (-385)Khalid Murtazaliev vs Khadzhimurat Bestaev
Good event for me surprisingly.
HOW THE SYSTEM DID:
Not that good. Rooting out "hard to call fights" out of the fights I had time to watch tape on, it picked Pitbull, McKee, Pico, Murtazaliev, Palencia. 60% correct. Luckily I didn't bet Pico because it was bad odds.
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