It's looking like I'm not going to make it through all the fight research this week. But this is what I have so far. UPDATE: Well I did finally make it through. To be honest, after 3 losing events of uexpected outcomes, I am not feeling confident again.
Ketlen Vieira vs Miesha Tate
PREDICTION: Vieira likes grappling and wrestling. Striking decent. Not super accurate. Hits hard. Tate striking looks longer, more movement. More explosive more accurate. Chases. very good grappling. Used to be champion. Subbed Holly Holm. Tate is significantly more skilled overall. Vieira looks pretty good, but not as fluid as Tate. She does have a size advantage. But so did Holly holm. In Tate's last fight back from long layoff she looked fresh. She still has her skills. Her losses have been to really top level. She finished her last fight. Tate inside the distance.
Michael Chiesa vs Sean Brady
PREDICTION: Brady looks really good all around. Explosive striking and nimble on the ground. He looks faster than Chiesa. Chiesa doesn't look confident in his striking. He uses a lot of movement to keep distance waiting for opening to shoot in. He seems to want to avoid striking. On the ground he looks very skilled, but his reaction time and movement just seemed a little slow in his fight with Luque. He didn't react fast enough when Luque caught hold of him after being in a good position. I feel like Brady will be better at striking and on the ground. He looks very physically strong, fast and also skilled. I am thinking Brady could win by sub.
Rani Yahya vs Kyung Ho Kang
PREDICTION: These guys look the same to me. Both grapplers. They seem to only strike in order to get the the ground. Both look nimble and quick on getting TD. Yahya looks a little more aggressive on the ground. Neither has very high level opponents. Kang seems taller and younger. His striking looks not bad. He has quick accurate jab. He seems to feel more comfortable striking. Yahya striking decent too. He lost dec to simon who is an aggressive come forward striker. Wasn't able to TD and got outlanded. They look very evenly matched. But Kang is younger and bigger. I think if Kang decided to just strike he would win. He is the very slight favorite. I think Kang's TD defense looks pretty good. He can avoid getting taken down. He is longer and has decent and accurate striking. I pick Kang by decision.
Joanne Wood vs Taila Santos
PREDICTION: Wood is not a good striker, has no jab. In wrestling she gets outmuscled. Santos striking looks decent. She is physically strong and athletic and long. Wood's opponents are much higher level than Santos. How did she get so high up there? I guess after hearing people break down this fight online, Wood is supposed to be a good striker. Maybe in her older fights. I'm probably underestimating her because she does not look good in her recent fights. Santos by decision.
Adrian Yanez vs Davey Grant
PREDICTION: Yanez had so much hype around him but looked terrible against Costa. Showed no defense, got hit so much. Did not deal well with reach and volume. So static. His movement is kind of awkward and stiff looking. Maybe he starts slow, but it was like he wasn't even on at all. I've been watching Marlon Vera fights a lot lately and seeing how he picks up volume and aggression and seems more energetic as the fight goes on compared to most people who get slower as the fight goes on. Maybe Yanez is like that except Vera looks like he is defending and looks composed. Yanez did not look composed in that fight with Costa. He looked overwhelmed. It makes me have no confidence in him. He is lucky Costa seemed to gas out and have no durability. I don't know what happened in that fight. Accuracy not that good, but he finds the opening when opponent gets reckless and gets the KO. He must have a lot of power. Grant, active with kicks and punches. karate style. Sharp striking, busy. good at grappling. Wish he would jab more. His punches always loop, not straight or long. He can get aggressive and his punches get kind of wide. If he can apply volume to yanez and pick him apart with movement and kick and then mix in some TD, Grant can win. But it is hard to do this for the full fight when opponent has single shot KO power. It means he has to not make mistakes and I'm not sure Grant is that type of fighter. Yanez by KO or Grant by decision. I'm leaning Yanez. Everyone online seems to think Yanez is a lock. I don't know. Maybe he just was having a bad night in the costa fight. Maybe he didn't like dealing with Costa's karate style or length. I still feel like he is over hyped. My spreadsheet says not to bet anyways.
Cody Durden vs Qileng Aori
PREDICTION: Durden looks like a well rounded wrestler with decent striking, but not good striking. Qileng is a super aggressive well rounded striker with some grappling skills. He applies constant pressure, has sharp long strikes. He does not give up, gets hit a lot but keeps coming forward. He has good cardio and durability because no matter how long the fight goes and how much he gets hit, he doesn't slow down that much. But his defense does seem to get worse as the fight goes on. He lost to Molina who is a good boxer, but in the early rounds he was winning by a lot. As the fight went on, Molina started to pick him apart and instead of defending he just kept coming forward and getting hit more and more. If he improved his defense and played it a little more smart he'd be pretty good. I think his aggressiveness and volume on the feet will be difficult for Durden to deal with. He strikes ok, but will want to wrestle. He was beaten by Gutierrez who is a big guy and better striker. I think Qileng is sharper and has more volume than gutierrez. Durden may get picked apart in the the earlier rounds. If he isn't able to get a TD and wrestle I don't think he will do well. In wrestling he is pretty good, but Qileng is ok there too. I think Qileng will win by decision.
Terrance McKinney vs Fares Ziam
PREDICTION: This is difficult to pick. Ziam seems better as a striker. He is more careful and patient. Has height and reach. Is pretty good defensively. But McKinney is well rounded and has KO power. He's very fast and twitchy and aggressive. But he has been caught so is not as good defensively. Ziam is not as good in wrestling or grappling. I don't think McKinney will be able to sub Ziam. He may be able to control him in wrestling. I think it will be hard for McKinney to KO Ziam also because Ziam is good defensively. He doesn't get really aggressive and has the reach. Will Ziam KO McKinney? He is not as fast as McKinney. I don't know who to pick. I guess my spreadsheet says Ziam by Decision.
Rafa García vs Natan Levy
PREDICTION: Garcia, solid, stocky strong guy with good durability, strength, power. Well rounded. Good striker and wrestler. He slows a little as the fight progresses. Defense not bad but not great. Punches get through the guard. As he tires it gets messier. Good speed. Medium volume. Very competitive with Haqparast, but Haqparast had the accumulation of slightly more accurate punches and slightly more volume. In his last fight, he showed durability. He was pretty beaten up and hurt but he kept getting the TDs. Levy very durable as well. He gets really hurt in 1st to the point where it looked like the fight could have been stopped, but comes back and wins the next rounds. Good TD defense. Taller. His striking doesn't look as good or fluid. He is a pretty good grappler and wrestler. I think Garcia wins by by decision.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke vs Sean Soriano
PREDICTION: N tries to wrestle any chance he gets, stocky, controls a lot. Has hard time getting close to Culibao who is taller and better striker. Gets TD, but has hard time holding them down. His striking is ok not great, very low volume. Defense not that great. Gets caught by Zhu Rong. Just waiting to get a TD. hesitant against Culibao. Soriano good TD defense, pretty good striking, fast, twitchy. Nice sharp strikes. got subbed by Giagos. Soriano by KO. I think Soriano's striking is way better.
Tucker Lutz vs Pat Sabatini
PREDICTION: Sabatini, dominates on the ground. He's very good at getting submissions. Striking decent. Lutz is solid kickboxer, active guard, explosive TD, good TD defense. Good at wrestling. I think Lutz can avoid getting taken down and submitted. Lutz by decision
Loma Lookboonmee vs Lupita Godinez
PREDICTION: Loma looks great. Her striking is really good and solid, nice feints, strong clinching and TD. Her teeps looks so solid and fast. Good on the ground. Loma looks like she slows a bit towards the end. Not as much volume. Waits to counter. Gets controlled against fence when more tired. loma didn't looka s good against Hill who is vertand with height advantage. gets controlled along fence alot. Her wrestling is probably her weakest point and doesn't deal well with height. Lupita likes to wrestle. Spends lots of time against fence controlling. has trouble getting luana down because of height. she got outstruck by luana who has reach but is not that great. lupy's iq is not that great in luana fight. She just kept doing things that weren't working instead of adjusting. Lupita is good, but loma more well rounded. they are similar size and strength. I think loma's striking is better. Loma I think will be able to get more TD from clinch. In wrestling they may cancel each other out. Loma looks better in each fight. She's improving. Loma by decision.
Luana Pinheiro vs Sam Hughes
PREDICTION: hughes, looks pretty good overall but dominated by loma who looks better overall and stronger physically. Likes to wrestle. Competitive with loma, lose 1st but controls more in 2nd. Not able to get Loma down. She tends to want to control against the fence. Her striking is not that great. striking defense not that good. Luana looked pretty good and competitive with markos. Lean and lanky. low volume. sharp strikes. She has power. Her striking seems better than Hughes. Decent overall. Luana inside the distance.
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