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Kung Fu Fan

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland - Picks and Breaksdowns


Lots of fights that I can see going either way. Again I feel more confident betting the time props. But sometimes I feel really confident in those and totally wrong.


SOME NOTES:

Thompson v Holland: 1st thought was that Holland is younger, longer, faster and is more well rounded. He has decent grappling skills. But the more I think about it I think it might be very close. Holland's finishes have been because he caught someone with a hard fast strike. It could happen, but Thompson isn't that slow. I think Thompson has better technique and footwork. He is really good at keeping distance. He is pretty good at defending in wrestling and grappling. So Holland edge in that area might not make much of a distance. When Holland fought Oliveira he seemed to get frustrated in the 1st round when Oliveira was being very technical and patient and trying to counter. It seems like that is how Thompson generally fights. But it seems that sometime during the 5 rounds it is likely that Holland will be able to land a hard strike and in that case Thompson could get KO'd. Up till then Thompson would most likely be dominating in a striking battle. At first I thought I'd bet Holland. Now I'm not so sure. Maybe fight goes into the 2nd round. I think it is likely for Holland to finish inside that distance or Thompson to win a decision.


Dos Anjos v Barbarena: I think RDA will dominate. I thinking he could possibly finish.


Nicolau v Schnell: Nicolau is really elusive and calculating. Low volume. Good striking good defense. Schnell's defense doesn't look great. He gets into trouble. Reflexes don't seem that fast.


Pavlovich v Tuivasa: both seem to be good boxers. Pavolivich seems to have more power. I think it will finish in first half of fight. I think it will go into round 2. I think it might be close until one of them lands a big shot. They look about equal to me but Pavlovich more power and looks bigger. Pavlovich has a huge reach advantage.


Hermanson v Dolidze: Hermanson active sharp striker. Dolidze active grappler. Both well rounded. Well matched. close. Hermanson looked really good in the Curtis fight - improved from previous. Dolidze step up in competition. More power?




PLACED BETS:

Placed - 0.2 UNITS

  • Round 2 (+300)Tai Tuivasa vs Sergey Pavlovich

Placed - 0.2 UNITS

  • Sergey Pavlovich in Round 2 (+500)Tai Tuivasa vs Sergey Pavlovich

Placed - 0.2 UNITS

  • Tai Tuivasa in Round 2 (+750)Tai Tuivasa vs Sergey Pavlovich

Placed PARLAY - 3 UNITS

  • Under 2.5 (-550)Tai Tuivasa vs Sergey Pavlovich

  • Over 2.5 (-435)Angela Hill vs Emily Ducote

  • Over 1.5 (-275)Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland

Placed - 1 UNITS

  • Yazmin Jauregui wins by decision or technical decision (-115)Yazmin Jauregui vs Istela Nunes

Placed - 1 UNITS

  • Emily Ducote wins by decision or technical decision (+120)Angela Hill vs Emily Ducote

Placed - 0.2 UNITS

  • Emily Ducote to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+650)Angela Hill vs Emily Ducote

Placed - 0.2 UNITS

  • Angela Hill to Win by Split or Majority Decision (+600)Angela Hill vs Emily Ducote

Placed PARLAY - 3 UNITS

  • Over 1.5 (-400)Clay Guida vs Scott Holtzman

  • Over 2.5 (-435)Angela Hill vs Emily Ducote

  • Yes (Fight completes 1 full round) (-500)Jack Hermansson vs Roman Dolidze

Placed PARLAY - 3 UNITS

  • Jonathan Pearce (-500)Darren Elkins vs Jonathan Pearce

  • Rafael Dos Anjos (-600)Rafael Dos Anjos vs Bryan Barberena

  • Over 1.5 (-435)Michael Johnson vs Marc Diakiese

Placed PARLAY - 3 UNITS

  • Yes (Fight completes 1 full round) (-350)Francis Marshall vs Marcelo Rojo

  • Marc Diakiese (-335)Michael Johnson vs Marc Diakiese

Placed PARLAY - 3 UNITS

  • No (-275)Natan Levy vs Genaro Valdez

  • Over 1.5 (-400)Yazmin Jauregui vs Istela Nunes

Placed - 1 UNITS

  • Stephen Thompson wins by 5 round decision (+350)Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland

Placed - 4 UNITS

  • K. Holland (-210) FINISH ONLY Stephen Thompson vs Kevin Holland

Placed PARLAY - 3 UNITS

  • Over 1.5 (-350)Rafael Dos Anjos vs Bryan Barberena

  • Over 1.5 (-225)Matheus Nicolau vs Matt Schnell





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