Lopez vs Kambosas Jr.
PREDICTION: Before doing the research, I thought Teo would win for sure, but after researching Kambosos I don't think it will be that easy. They are both good defensively. They are both good at countering. They both seem like smart fighters. They both have good hand speed. I think Teo has the edge in hand speed and the power advantage. He is more precise. I think Kambosos is a slick counterpuncher and has more volume and combos. Defensively, I have seen Teo get hit more than I have seen Kambosos hit in his fights. They are roughly the same size. Kambosos is slightly taller. Teo has a the much higher level of opponents. My spreadsheet is saying it is too close to bet but leaning towards Teo. I am trying to decide if it will finish. Based on Teo's record, he would finish the fight, but looking at his most recent fights with Loma and Nakatani it went the distance. With Nakatani it seemed he had trouble with the height and nakatini is also really durable . He Ko'd Commey, but compared to commey, Kambosos has much faster handspeed and looks better defensively. Loma was very defensive and quick in his fight. When he did start to engage with Teo, he was able to time him and outland him. Teo was not able to land clean on Loma. Kambosos is faster and seems better defensively than Commey or nakatani. Kambosas was good at timing lee selby and countering him with volume. Selby is not as explosive as Teo though. I think it has a chance of going the distance. If it goes the distance, Kambosos seems to have more volume. Will Teo be able to catch Kambosas clean and KO him? I have not seen Kambosos fight someone as explosive as Teo so he could either be good enough to go the distance and time him and win on points or survive or he could get caught clean and get Ko'd. I don't see Kambosos getting hit a lot to show his durability. I don't see Kambosos finishing Teo though. Do I think Kambosos is better than Nakatani? Yes. Is he better than Loma? No. Would he do better than Commey? Yes
Fuzile vs Ogawa
PREDICTION: I pick Azinga to win. Will he finish or will it go to decision? Azinga likes to ekep his distance and counter. He lost to Rakhimov because R was able to make it messy get in there and outwork him. Ogawa doesn't seem to do this. He seems to like to pick his shots. I think Azinga's defense looks pretty good. He is good at evading and countering. Ogawa seems pretty durable so I'm not sure it will be finish. I think it will go the distance.
Ford vs Caraballo
PREDICTION: The speadsheet says ford by decision. But I feel like Ford finish inside the distance. Caraballo looks very low volume and ford's handspeed is way faster.
PLACED BETS:
Over 7.5-130 Teofimo Lopez vs George Kambosos Jr --1 UNIT
Yes + 230 Will The Fight Go The Distance Teofimo Lopez vs George --1/2 UNIT
Kambosos Jr by Decision or Technical Decision +1000 --1/5 UNIT
A. Fuzile by Decision or Technical Decision185 --1/2 UNIT
Over 10.5 -115 fuzile vs ogawa --1/2 UNIT
R. Ford by KO, TKO or DQ +120 --1 UNIT
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